Mike Rowehl: This is Mobility

There seems to be a lot of “take it for granted” style discussion around the possibility of Android fragmentation. Without strong top down control of the platform, folks seem to think that we’re going to end up with hundreds of versions of Android, all slightly different. This was the nightmare that mobile Java became. There were large engineering teams dedicated to and specialized in taking your write-once-run-anywhere app and actually getting it to work on the volume of handsets you wanted to hit.

It’s true that technically anyone who wants to build a slightly different version of Android can, so in that sense there CAN be fragmentation. However, the ecosystem has also fundamentally changed. Before we had the carriers tightly controlling the channel, dictating what was in and out in terms of hardware, enforcing strict standards on the software they pushed to users, and doing everything they could to keep anyone else from pushing software to users. In that world the burden of dealing with fragmentation was with the developers, and the benefit went to the carriers. The carriers controlled the channel, so fragmentation continued.

The one lesson that everyone in mobile seems to have learned over the last year was that the carriers were really bad at determining the right hardware and managing that application and content catalog. It’s why everyone is jumping on the App Store Bandwagon. One of the side-effects of that is that it breaks the strongly controlled content and application channel. If ATT decides that their Android version is going to do Bluetooth slightly different, sure, go ahead. But how can they strongarm Android developers who produce Bluetooth apps into making an ATT specific version? The control isn’t really there any more. Developers might do it, but only if ATT is offering up enough incremental sales revenue to make the port worthwhile. Right now developers frequently do it cause they’re contractually obligated to if they want ATT to promote their app.

Anyone who’s worked in open source knows that forks are technically possible, but practically uncommon. When the “market” is completely open folks tend to follow a path that serves them best. And it’s a reinforcing path. Even when someone with vested interest tries to keep a fork distinct, normally the burden ends up being more on the controller than anyone else. Forks tend to get folded back or die off pretty quickly. I think the same thing should happen with Android. Sure, people might try at the start to get a leg up by including proprietary features and customizations. But in the long run if Android as a whole works, the only person they’re hurting with a fork is themselves (to the tune of a decreased application catalog). And although it’s possible for them to create a custom application catalog with some differentiation in the short term and attempt to keep that differentiation going, there’s no difference between that and the strongly controlled channel that we currently see failing today. The cost of trying to do so will outweigh the benefit of joining the mainline.

Looks like the official cupcake release is delayed a bit I was able to do a manual install of cupcake on my dev phone (Thanks Debajit for the pointers!). Top feature I was looking forward to is the onscreen keyboard. Especially somewhere like the browser, it was always a pain before to have to flip open to type something, flip closed to view, flip, flip, flip. The onscreen keyboard has been working great. Few mistyped letters here and there, but I still do that on my iPod touch as well, so I’m not faulting it that.

Probably the most interesting point from converting over (I’m going to try carrying my Android phone instead of the E71 for the next two weeks and see how that goes) was actually more service than phone. The contacts app has an option to copy contacts off the SIM, but I always have too many phonebook entries for that to work. I run out of storage space on the SIM trying to copy my contacts over.

So what I had done last time was use Funambol to upload my contacts from my S60 phone, and then downloaded the connector app to my G1 to pull down contacts. It worked okay, but some of the data was somewhat munged (most contacts ended up in “last name, first name” format when they came over to the G1, and it just looked ugly). I was going to do that again to sync over the new contacts I have on my Nokia. But then I remembered that Nokia Sync supports S60 now, and decided to give that a try instead. It ended up working out quite well! Once I had my contacts all cleaned up (and now they live in gmail, where I get a lot more use out of them) syncing back to the Nokia seems to work almost as well as syncing from the G1. Have to see how it works over time, but it looks good. Getting S60 supported in Google Sync is a pretty slick move in terms of being able to entice over new users to Android.

One thing that still doesn’t work out quite perfectly for me is the account support. I have a main Gmail address I use for all sorts of personal stuff, and collects a half-dozen of my other email forward currently. It’s where I’m connected to folks on Latitude. Then I have a Google for domains setup for work, and that’s where I store my work emails and my actual calendar. Problem is I can’t get this mix of accounts to work quite the way I want them to. I would like to use email with both inboxes (and default to personal email when other apps are sending by default), I would like calendar to use my apps for domains account, and I would like maps to use my gmail account (I put a little Latitude badge in the sidebar of this blog with a happy little motorcycle zooming around wherever I happen to have last been, I love it!).

So what I’ve ended up with is my main gmail account embedded as the base setting in the phone, and using the browser to access my work email and calendar. Not horribly slick cause I don’t get notifications. However, the browser uses local storage for both calendar and email, so they’re available offline. Unexpected and very welcome! Still, I would love to see multiple account support in the native apps. But I’m going to have to fool around with the browser capabilities in this release. The mobile mail app in the browser is making me drool. Great stuff.

I also downloaded the 1.5 update of the SDK to poke around still. Seems like from the application developer side Android is getting little love. The number of devices in market along with the demographic skew of the audience just don’t make for a compelling target. I’m pretty anxious to see how the upcoming devices shift that however. I’m hearing lots of the old hands from mobile saying that the lack of a formal program to facilitate OEM integrations is a limiting factor in how fast Android can spread. Lots of manufacturers might be interested in it, but they tend to flail around when trying to get projects done with it and have no one to turn to. I’m definitely still rooted in the “cautiously optimistic” camp. The way that should work out with Android is that someone will put together a professional services firm disassociated from Google to help those folks plan and implement their efforts. And I think there’s still plenty of room and time for that to happen.

The dotMobi folks are up for an emerging technology award at CTIA for Instant Mobilizer. Instant Mobilizer is the evolution of Mowser, so of course it’s got a special place in my heart. The dotMobi folks have done an awesome job bringing it to market and adding some innovative mobile-specific features. Check out the info at the CTIA site and click “Mark as Favorite” if you like what they’ve done. I’m pulling for you folks, good luck!

I’m seeing more and more mobile payments systems getting used in actual products. Stuff like Zong, Paymo and Mobillcash. Surprisingly enough, the places I’m hearing about systems like this being used are in social games (for example social applications using Offerpal) instead of in mobile applications. One of the criticisms leveled at mobile advertising pretty frequently is that it doesn’t make much sense to have an advertising system built somewhere that commerce isn’t flowing. Why advertise on mobile phones if few people are buying through mobile phones?

I still hear pretty regularly that trying to deliver a paid application globally on mobile phones (note, I’m talking about systems outside of the app store models that have cropped up recently, they’re definitely an exception to just about everything) is at best a pain. Often it involves enough cost, revenue share, and engineering that the economics frequently don’t work out. So you’re stuck going through an existing channel even if you would technically have a route directly to consumers. I was expecting that to eventually get sorted out, that someone would crack the global mobile payments problem, allow unbanked users to pay using premium SMS, and deliver the platform in a package that developers could integrate without having to bend over backwards. And that has happened. But the unexpected part is that the uptake seems to be on the wired web, as an alternative payment form alongside credit cards. I was expecting the evolution to be that the systems would be used to back transactions originated on the mobile first, and then eventually start creeping onto the web as well.

For anyone who hasn’t poked around with the systems yet, the flow goes something like this when I pay with a mobile payments system on the web:

Actually a pretty nice system compared to paying by credit card. With most credit card systems I have a bunch of info to enter in, if I even have the card I want to use on me. And for folks who don’t have credit cards, like those using prepaid accounts where they charge up with cash each month (or kids who have their parents paying their phone bill), it opens them up to online purchases. Cool, nice, makes sense, I’m happy it happened, lots of good going on there.

So why didn’t this end up opening up mobile commerce more? Or did it, and I’m just not hearing about it? Why does Zong list all online properties and no mobile-specific properties in their list of partners? Did the new commerce line just follow the existing line of purchases? Are folks still hesitant to kick off a transaction from a phone, whereas they just “trust” the web more? They’re paying with their phone, so it’s not an aversion to using the mobile itself as a payment mechanism. But maybe an aversion to starting the transaction on the mobile. Or is it a technical/user experience glitch? Does punching out to reply to an SMS often kill the interaction going on in the mobile browser? Leading to a large dropoff or user disappointment when they can’t find their way back to their purchase? Or is it simply that social and online services are performing so much better than mobile services that the incremental gain of opening up unbanked transactions for existing online purchases way outweighs the benefits of opening up commerce completely tied to the mobile?

I’m pretty sure this is indicative of an opportunity of some kind. For instance, Apple is supposedly adding in-application payments options so that users can pay for goods or service updates within an app after purchase. So there’s probably a decent amount of demand for a system of the kind. I would assume that existing developers could probably use something like Zong or Paymo with some pretty minimal infrastructure to provide a system of their own to get in-app payments working today. We’ll have to see how granular Apple gets with their payment system, and what the terms end up being. Having a bunch of options popping up at the same time should lead to a nice healthy market. And help to keep the Apple based system in check should they start using their position as channel controller to try to squeeze developers.

I posted yesterday about wanting to use my phone to publish my location in realtime, and I got a bunch of fantastic responses both in the comments and as emails (thanks folks!) I fooled around with some of them with varying degrees of success. Nokia Sport Tracker seems like it would be great! However, I can’t figure out how to make the phone app do it’s job. Maybe my fault, I have an E71 and it’s not listed as a supported model. I’ll have to dig out my N95 and try that one. However, on the Android side, I put FirePin on my phone and was able to upload and share out info about my route (course, it only has to points, cause I have the phone on wifi only right now). FirePin supposedly also works with FireEagle based on the comments I got. But I can’t figure out how that’s supposed to work.

Generally I’ve been hearing frequently about how location based services are really starting to happen this time around. Yea, yea, I know. That’s what we’ve said every year for the last decade. Don’t even bother, I’ve heard it all before. However, this time we have some open platforms with GPS built into the handset, which means there’s a way to work around most of the problems inherent in the carrier based system we had before. Any by “problems” I mean “crippling cost structure”. I can kinda understand how that seems like a more mature market for location based services. Because end users can grant permission to an application for it to directly grab location info, there are all kinds of services out there.

However, I would hardly count that as platform maturity. That’s a degree of market maturity, but not platform maturity. Sure, it’s easier to build a location based app. Just plop your application into any one of the silos that folks have built to control the deployment of your application and management of your data, and blammo! New app. Yea, not the way I normally think about these things. Which is not to belittle the efforts like FireEagle, I just think there are a few missing bits.

Here’s the kinds of stuff I was expecting to see:

That basic set of functionality is a write-once bit of infrastructure. It gets us out of the “Oh yea, FirePin is great!! Wait, no, you can’t use it on your Nokia”. Not that the tools won’t evolve. But there should be an open set of base clients for all the different mobile platforms, and then anyone who wants to build a web app that pulls in location info can just say “Okay, add local.rowehl.com:9900 to your location client to start updating the Mike-o-matic pile of gold finder app with your current location” Instead we have all these different point solution client applications, frequently hardcoded to send location to a given server. Dumb.

I’m planning to go on an extended motorcycle trip in May. Whenever I leave to go somewhere for more than a few hours and my friends know about it I tend to get a lot of calls. They get very concerned and call to make sure I’m not lying on the side of the road somewhere bleeding. Can’t blame them, the precedent has been set. And hey, it feels good to know that next time I actually am lying on the side of the road bleeding there should be someone looking for me pretty quick even if I don’t have a sweeper following me. However, it also means that there are a bunch of worried people out there if I don’t answer my phone for some reason, for which I feel guilty. “I should be able to solve this with technology!” says Mike the geek.

Immediate thought, Google Latitude. I can keep recording info about where I am in the background with both the Android and Symbian phones I have. That way folks can see where I’m going as I’m going, and if I don’t answer the phone they at least know I’m moving. Which should mean I’m okay, unless I’m wedged under a truck getting dragged down the road. I haven’t figured out a technical solution to detecting that, so I’m leaving that corner case off the table for now.

However, the only way I can see to get info out of Latitude is through the iGoogle widget. Not a bad way for it to work, but I want to just post my location to my blog. Seriously, I don’t give a crap about privacy. I wanna publish where I am for everyone. And I’m not going to get my mom and my sisters to sign up for Google accounts, just not gonna happen. Is there a way to do a background update of location info and publish it your own website for example? Or a system where I can suck it back out easily and map the results?

Another option is to geotag photos and publish them on Flickr. That works, but requires that I’m taking photos in order to update folks about where I am. Perhaps a cool addition, but doesn’t get to the root problem I’m trying to solve, which effectively comes down to passively instrumenting myself using my cell phone and publishing that info as realtime as possible online publicly. I’m sure I could knock together an Android app to do it pretty quickly, but I have to assume there’s something out there already.

There’s a package now for installing X11 on the G1, which builds on the Debian for G1 package. I haven’t fooled around with the stuff yet, but what am I interested in running with access to the full set of Debian software? Well that should be obvious. Metaspoit of course. Cellular interface + Wifi interface + handheld device + automated security scanning = fun!

I saw some random references to something called Sexy View, malware aimed at Nokia devices. I was just going to ignore it, but then I realized it appears to be a signed application. Delicious. If nothing else that should allow the response folks to track down where it came from I would assume. The reports out there are vague so far at best, but I’m hoping at some point something will shed some light on how this came about. I’m assuming something happened like some company got careless (or went out of business and just ignored) their signing key for applications, and some malicious party got hold of it. Very curious about this I am.

A friend over at Google provided me with an unlocked Android phone, which I’ve been poking around with here and there doing some development. I hadn’t really poked around with the phone itself all that much, meaning looking at hacks and usage tricks and whatnot. Yesterday I decided I wanted to update to the latest firmware (RC33) however, so the journey began. I have my G1 running on the AT&T network, which is where some of the complexity comes from.

I started out with the normal instructions for manually installing the RC33 update, which are pretty actually slick and simple. However, I was getting a failed check when trying to install the firmware. I assume there’s some internal ID that identifies the phone as a TMobile phone or not, and my dev phone doesn’t have that, so the installer was throwing some assertion failure check. So I figured I would try out one of the jailbroken images if I’m going to have to muck around for a while anyway.

There is an alternative version of the RC33 update available, called the JF33 sometimes, and other times the JF RC33. The JF stands for Jesusfreak, the forum user who repacks the roms and has apparently provided test keys that can be used to downgrade a unit. Once you know what you’re looking for, there are tons of posts in forums and blogs all over the place. The problem is just figuring out what you need to search for.

The process goes something like this:

It was a bit of an involved process to get through. And at first when I installed the RC29 firmware and had to re-activate, I was afraid I wasn’t going to be able to do so without a TMobile SIM. Just a bit of APN hackery took care of that however. Phew! Now I have Latitude working in maps, and root access in the terminal. W00t! Back to developing now.

The fact the Palm has taken a radical turn, redesigned their mobile platform around access to the web and development around web technologies, and is releasing a new device based on it in the first half of this year are all really non-news items for me. What’s going to be the deciding point is what happens when us developers get to see the Mojo SDK that goes along with the WebOS platform.

The message so far coming out of Palm is on target in that regard. They need to return to the kind of innovation and energy that went along with the initial Palm Pilot devices. The big deal there was that they had a relatively simple platform that encouraged developers to experiment, and at the time they were the only real game in town for someone who wanted to pick up a device off the shelf and be able to program for it. Basing the design of the OS around web interfaces and attempting to allow developers to use the same technologies for native apps as they’ve been using on the web, I like that actually. Just a few days ago I was fooling around with hooking into native services on Android from within a browser interface, and it provides a really powerful system for getting stuff together quickly with quite a bit of flexibility.

So overall, I got to say, my curiosity is somewhat piqued. I don’t think we have enough info at all yet to make any decisions. But for the first time in oh-so-long, I’m happy about what I’m hearing.