Archive for the 'Events & Meetings' Category

NewsFutures workshop — Monday, October 27, 2008

Chris F. Masse October 25th, 2008

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After you have participated in this NewsFutures workshop, send me an e-mail at … cfm |-at-| midasoracle |.|-com-| … or …. chrisfmasse |-at-| gmail |.|-com-| … to tell me how it went. I need to hear from the participants, not just from Emile and his gang. Just to form my own independent opinion on this thing. Judging from the program and the people, that sounds good, but I want to hear what real people think. :-D

Prediction Markets and Wisdom of Crowds 101

Chris F. Masse October 13th, 2008

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NewsFutures WorkShop - @ New York City - 2008-10-27

I do not endorse their workshop, but I know that Emile Servan-Schreiber, Maurice Balick and Norris Clark have high quality content to deliver. I would go, if I were in the area that day.

Best wishes to them.

Pop!Tech 2008

Chris F. Masse October 9th, 2008

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Pop!Tech 2008 - Maine, U.S.A. - 2008-10-23~25

Not on prediction markets.

But Inkling is a partner.

UPDATE: Inkling’s post.

INFORMS on prediction markets

Chris F. Masse October 9th, 2008

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INFORMS on prediction markets - Washington, D.C., U.S.A. - 2008-10-15

I am highly interested in what Robin Hanson will say about how to assess the informational value of the prediction markets.

Where is the post-election academic conference on prediction market performance?

Michael Giberson October 7th, 2008

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So, where is the post-election party going to be?

No, I don’t mean the post-election gatherings by the candidates and their supporters, I mean the post-election gathering of academics and other researchers to assess what has been learned about the performance of prediction markets over the 2008 presidential campaign cycle.

I’ve checked the usual suspects and found nothing.

(The Southern Economic Association meeting this year is in Washington, D.C., a few weeks after the election. It would be an excellent time and place for an early post-mortem on the performance of prediction markets addressing the 2008 U.S. presidential election. But a look at the program doesn’t reveal any related panels. (The deadline for submission of abstracts was April 1, 2008.) In January 2008, the American Economic Association meetings featured a panel put together by Eric Zitzewitz. The next American Economic Association meeting is in San Francisco in January, but from my scan of the preliminary program no prediction market sessions are planned. (You really have to plan ahead for the AEA meetings, the deadline was February 28.))

This ongoing election cycle has featured an explosion of interest in political prediction markets, periodic allegations of manipulation and related analysis (and here, and here, and here, and here, etc.), innovations in market design (and disputations thereof) and various claims of market failure. A lot has happened. What have we learned?

Where is the post-election academic conference on prediction market performance?

(And, in a related question, where is the post-conference party going to be?)

NewsFutures Enterprise Prediction Market Workshop, NYC, 10/27

Emile Servan-Schreiber September 17th, 2008

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For aspiring practitioners and those intrigued by the applications of collective intelligence in the workplace, the typical prediction markets conference can be frustrating for lack of focus on practical knowledge and hands-on experience with the tools. That’s why NewsFutures is organizing a Wisdom of Crowds Consulting Workshop, in New York City, on October 27.

It is designed primarily for business consultants who would like to acquire working knowledge of “WOC”-based solutions, or for the manager looking for some hands-on experience while considering the potential of this approach for his or her company.

The one-day program will cover:

  • Foundations
    Prediction Markets and Wisdom of Crowds 101: principles, mechanisms, evidence, and applications
  • Applications
    Case studies in strategy, forecasting, innovation, and project management
  • Tools
    Hands-on experience with various wisdom-of-crowds software tools: Prediction Markets, Competitive Forecasting, Idea Pageant, and Impact Matrix
  • Practice
    Keys to a successful implementation: information, integration, inclusion, interface, and incentives
  • Collaboration
    Nuts and bolts of working with NewsFutures

If you are interested, please follow this link for more information about the venue and how to register.

I look forward to seeing you in NY, home of the world’s financial meltdown!

Is Charles Plott a bigger thinker than Robin Hanson?

Chris F. Masse September 14th, 2008

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The answer to this question: next October, in Santa Clara.

Charles Plott @ Yahoo! @ Santa Clara, California, U.S.A. - 2008-10-09

Why don’t prediction market people submit conference proposals for SXSW 2009?

Chris F. Masse August 9th, 2008

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Predictify did it. - #1 - #2

Why don’t you do it too?

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Live Stream Audio of the Third WorkShop on Prediction Markets?

Chris F. Masse July 9th, 2008

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Live Steam Audio of the Third WorkShop on Prediction Markets?

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UPDATE

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Robin Hanson, please, jot down “February 4, 2009″ in your Google Calendar.

Chris F. Masse July 2nd, 2008

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O’Reilly’s Money:Tech 2009 - (one session about prediction markets) - New York City, New York, U.S.A. - 2009-02-04~06

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Last year, Robin Hanson was invited as a speaker… but declined. Instead, our Master Of All Universes went to another conference, scheduled at the same time —stuff about how to get to converse with extra-terrestrials. :-D

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