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Tuesday Jul 22, 2008
Today show: McCain states that Obama doesn't understand Iraq
listed in Iraq
I do not need to go to Iraq to understand that Kurds, Sunnis and Shia don't like sharing the region. Just as you don't have to go to Watts (Los Angeles) to know that it is an extremely dangerous neighborhood. I also don't need to go to Iraq to understand that it was a mistake to invade that country in the first place. So, I really don't follow John McCain's reasoning. He has been arguing for months that Obama has to go to Iraq to understand the situation. Briefings and newspaper reports are worthless in John McCain's world.
So, Barack Obama goes to Iraq and Afghanistan. It appears that Senator Obama does know what he is talking about after all. Maliki has clearly stated that the position of the Iraqi government is to have US troops out of their country by 2010. Wow. 2010. That sounds a lot like what Barack Obama has said. John McCain is now stuck. He has taken Bush's position which never made any sense to anyone who wasn't an insecure neocon.
From
HuffPost: "Prime Minister Maliki is the leader of a country and I'm confident he will act as the President and the Foreign Minister both told me in the last several days," said the presumptive Republican nominee. "It will be directly related to the situation on the ground -- just as they have always said. And since we are succeeding, I am convinced, as I have said before, we will withdraw with honor, not according to a set timetable."
McCain has only a couple of positions as I see it -
1) He can state that the Iraqis really don't know what's going on. The US, like a protective mother, knows best. I just don't see this going over with anybody.
2) McCain can try and play this with a little body-English and say that the US wants to withdraw as soon as possible. We agree that the end of 2010 is a goal if conditions on the ground support that goal. This is somewhat transparent but it may be the best option that McCain has.
3) Senator McCain can pressure Admiral Mullen and General David Petraeus to say that conditions on the ground have improved enough to push a complete and total withdraw by the end of 2010. This is almost laughable since Petraeus hasn't come close to saying anything like this but it may have merit since McCain and Bush have held up Petraeus as all knowledgeable.
Actually, all 3 of those positions are very lame but that is the best that John McCain can do. He has painted himself into this corner. It is hard to see any easy way out.
Watch John McCain struggle through this interview on Iraq policy on the Today Show.
[ http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/25779945#25779945 ]
Tuesday Jul 22, 2008
Underestimating
listed in Elections / Foreign Policy
I suspect the McCain campaign really believes Sen. Barack Obama is an inexperienced empty suit who is only good in front of a teleprompter. It's the only explanation for their foolish strategy.
As said here before, making "experience" your main theme is a proven loser in presidential campaigns. Voters ultimately care more about where a candidate will take the country than the length of the candidate's resume.
But the McCain campaign made an extra error: believing the conservative hype that Obama is hollow.
The McCain campaign tried to mock Obama for not knowing anything about foreign policy by offering to have McCain lead him around Iraq.
Obama essentially called the bluff: arranging a high-stakes multi-country trip, where he can hold court on foreign policy, display his knowledge and provide assurance to undecided voters that he can command the world stage.
It's much harder to make the charge stick that a candidate is in over his head when you just saw him navigate the currents.
Now the trip isn't over yet, and the visits to Israel and Palestine will be the trickiest visits of all. A high-profile mistake by Obama (and even the best politicians can make a mistake in those treacherous political waters) would justify the McCain approach.
But the McCain campaign effectively ceded control of the argument to Obama. They didn't respect his skills and believed he would fumble.
Not smart.
Such is the risk of underestimating your opponent. You presume he can't handle a challenge, you sit back believing he will fail, and he ends up showing you up.
If they were paying closer attention during the primary season, objectively assessed their rival, they wouldn't have levied such an attack.
Saturday Jul 19, 2008
The LiberalOasis Radio Show: John Hodgman Edition
listed in Radio Show
Today at 10 AM ET, The LiberalOasis Radio Show was broadcast on WHMP-AM in Western MA. My special guest for the full show was John Hodgman, author of The Areas of My Expertise and the forthcoming More Information Than You Require, Resident Expert on The Daily Show, and contributor to The New York Times Magazine.
The audio podcast for the show is here: (iTunes / XML feed / MP3).
Saturday Jul 19, 2008
Netroots Nation: Middle-Class and Populism
listed in Economy
At Netroots Nation, long-time Texas populist Jim Hightower talked with me about how blogging is strengthening progressive populism in the Lone Star State, and the importance of populism to the Obama campaign.
And David Goldstein of HA Seattle discussed how bloggers can frame the economic issues that affect the middle-class.
Saturday Jul 19, 2008
Netroots Nation: The Future of Enviro Blogging
listed in Environment
After attending two panels on environment and energy activism online, I interviewed several panelists about what bloggers can do to help frame environmental issues and move the debate forward.
Energize America's Mark Sumner and A Siegel both discussed how bloggers can participate in both drafting and advancing clean energy legislation.
Mark Sumner
A Siegel
And Natasha Chart of MyDD, Open Left and Pacific Views talked about how bloggers make environmental issues more accessible both inside and outside the blogosphere.
Friday Jul 18, 2008
Netroots nation - Don Siegelman
listed in Judiciary
Don Siegelman, former Democratic Governor of Alabama, is being interviewed by Sam Seder. If you are not familiar with Don Siegelman's case, I have several posts (here, here and here).
Don Siegelman's story is something that everyone would should know. If a former governor could be treated like this the rest of us are in serious trouble.
Don Siegelman has a new web site - www.contemptforrove.com. Please take some time and look at this site.
BTW, I'm here at the conference. I know that Bill is here and we haven't seen each other, yet.
Thursday Jul 17, 2008
Interview With Senate candidate Mark Begich
listed in Elections
One of the surprises in this election is that Alaska has a real chance of turning Blue. I had the chance at Netroots Nation to interview the man who is leading incumbent Senator Ted Stevens in recent polls, Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich.
In Part 1 of our interview, Mayor Begich talked about why Democrats are now competitive in Alaska, and also shared his governing principles.
In Part 2, Mayor Begich discussed the Republican assault on the Constitution and his embrace of the "netroots."
Thursday Jul 17, 2008
Netroots Nation: Labor Caucus
listed in Economy
Two interviews I conducted following the Netroots Nation Labor Caucus, about the potential for partnership between bloggers and unions.
First, Jason Lefkowitz, online organizer for Change To Win.
Then, Elana Levin from UNITE HERE (left) and Stephanie Taylor from SEIU (right).
Thursday Jul 17, 2008
At Netroots Nation... listed in
...will try to post the sights and sounds the best I can for the next few days.
Thursday Jul 17, 2008
Iran Politics
listed in Iran
Folks sometimes worry that Bush will attack Iran for political reasons in hopes of boosting McCain.
But I suspect the bigger concern is that Bush is engaging in disingenuous diplomacy with Iran for political reasons, so when it "fails," McCain can say that the Obama approach has been tried and proven wrong.