Republicans
Gap has moved at least 3 points in his favor in all state groups since June
July 23, 2008
Barack Obama has gained at least 3 points in his relative positioning against John McCain on Gallup’s presidential ballot in red, blue, and purple states since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination in June.
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July 22, 2008
Despite the focus on Barack Obama’s trip abroad and a short-lived bounce, Monday night interviewing shows that the race between Obama and John McCain remains close.
Solid majorities of Americans believe McCain, Obama will not use personal attacks in campaign
July 18, 2008
The majority of Americans think Barack Obama and John McCain will refrain from mudslinging and focus on issues during the campaign. Partisanship plays a strong role in those views, however.
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Support may be increasing slightly
July 16, 2008
Despite reports of liberals’ frustration with Barack Obama’s perceived movement toward the center of the ideological spectrum, Gallup Poll Daily tracking data show Obama’s share of the vote among liberals has not declined in recent weeks.
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July 11, 2008
Americans are less likely now than they were during the presidential primary season to describe Barack Obama’s and John McCain’s political views as “about right.†Views of McCain have shifted the most, with the percentage calling him “too conservative†increasing from 30% to 40%.
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Majority, however, see neither as an obstacle to effective governing
July 9, 2008
The majority of Americans believe that neither John McCain’s age nor Barack Obama’s race will make a difference in terms of their effectiveness as president, but there is somewhat more concern about the impact of McCain’s age than there is about Obama’s race.
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Has erased deficit to McCain
July 9, 2008
Barack Obama has erased John McCain’s former lead among voters with a high school education or less. In March, McCain led Obama 47% to 40% among this group, but in Gallup’s June tracking data, the candidates were tied at 43% among voters with the least formal schooling.
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July 8, 2008
Whether an individual says religion is an important part of his or her daily life is often a strong indicator of whether he or she supports John McCain or Barack Obama for president.
Hispanic Catholics and black Protestants provide notable exceptions
July 8, 2008
Americans who say religion is an important part of their daily lives support John McCain over Barack Obama, 50% to 40%, while their less religious counterparts support Obama over McCain, 55% to 36%. Hispanic Catholics and black Protestants provide notable exceptions.
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Convention period could prove crucial in determining the winner
July 7, 2008
There have been nine competitive presidential elections since 1948. In these, the candidate leading in Gallup polling in early to mid-July -- as Barack Obama is today -- won in only three cases.
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