SC-Pres: Not so good for Obama
Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 03:30:24 PM PDT
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 7/22-23. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 53
Obama (D) 40
Obama is getting only 15 percent of the white vote. Kerry, for his part, got 22 percent of the white vote in 2004. This poll closely tracks black turnout with the 2004 election (31 percent versus 30 percent in 2004), and we can assume those numbers will be greatly boosted thanks to Obama's presence in the field. However, those white numbers make it extremely difficult to make a go of this state. Perhaps that's why the Obama campaign talks more about Georgia than they do about South Carolina.
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South Carolina Poll
Results July 22-23, 2008.
500 likely voters interviewed state wide by telephone margin for is 4.5%
Sample Figures
Men 239 48%
Women 261 52%
Dem 181 36%
Rep 214 43%
Ind 105 21%
White 329 66%
Black 156 31%
Other 15 3%
18-29 90 18%
30-44 151 30%
45-59 161 32%
60+_ 98 20%
If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat, or John McCain the Repblican?
McCain Obama Und
All 53% 40% 7%
Men 57% 38% 5%
Women 49% 42% 9%
Dem 16% 80% 4%
Rep 84% 6% 10%
Ind 52% 39% 9%
White 78% 15% 7%
Black 4% 88% 8%
Other 7% 86% 7%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?
Approve DisapproveNot Sure
All 39% 60% 1%
Men 42% 57% 1%
Women 36% 63% 1%
Dem 8% 91% 1%
Rep 67% 32% 1%
Ind 36% 63% 1%
