Ph: +14252051921

Facebook? Up 10%. Twitter? Up 16%. FriendFeed? Flat

by Robert Scoble on July 9, 2009

I’m largely seen as FriendFeed’s #1 cheerleader and customer #1.

But it isn’t catching on.

Rackspace’s President, Lew Moorman, and I have been having an interesting debate. He even wrote up his thesis: that FriendFeed should just become a great Twitter client to become relevant.

I have got to be honest: it’s worse than that.

FriendFeed has done some remarkable things in a short period of time with a far smaller team than works at Facebook (FriendFeed has 13 employees, if my count is accurate, while Facebook has 800+ and Twitter has 40+).

What have they done?

1. Built a real-time interface for having conversations that can be bundled together and linked to from this blog, unlike on Twitter or Facebook.
2. Given me a way to manage my users into groups. Twitter has promised that for two years but hasn’t delivered yet.
3. Delivered a much better direct messaging functionality than Facebook or Twitter.
4. Shipped true real-time search that not only is more powerful, but searches all web data types, not just 140-character messages. Famous search engine pundit Danny Sullivan wrote up the real time search space and gave FriendFeed high marks.
5. Built a strong community that is already my #3 driver of traffic.
6. Built private group functionality that demonstrates powerful aggregation of feeds and other features.

But yet it continues to fall flat. Today, as the real time industry gathers at TechCrunch I wanted to honestly access why it is failing to take off. Here’s the reasons I’ve discerned:

1. While they recently added skins, the UI still is too geeky and sparse and not controllable enough. You can’t display the front page with comments hidden, for instance, which is the reason that Tim O’Reilly gave me for disliking the site. Why? Because he doesn’t have time to engage with all the comments, he just wants a news page to see a river of news. For him Twitter is “good enough” and he doesn’t need more features.
2. The real time search is, while very cool and much better than Twitter, isn’t nearly good enough to be usable for many people. Way too much duplication. Way too hard to use. The search industry has a dirty secret: 99% of people don’t click on advanced search, yet FriendFeed requires you to click on that button to use it in any useful way.
3. The noise problem. Twitter is noisy. FriendFeed is noisier because of the comments. Noise on Twitter goes away quickly. Noise on FriendFeed becomes louder due to engagement. I see this when people post cute cat photos. They get tons of engagement (who doesn’t like a cat photo) but that engagement spreads it, and pops it back up to the top of the page. Noise amplification pisses people off. Except for weirdos like me that love seeing noise.
4. The Scoble problem. I have tens of thousands more followers on FriendFeed than other people for a variety of reasons. First, I’ve pushed it over and over again to my Twitter and blog followers, but second, I put a lot of original content into my stream there and I also read tens of thousands of feeds there and “like” the best, which puts me into a lot of people’s view. I’m also on the suggested user list there, which gets me lots of followers. But that means I overly dominate FriendFeed to the point that many people wonder if I’m paid by FriendFeed (I’m not) or have investment in FriendFeed (I don’t). Worse, if you are into something not tech, like quilting, I keep popping onto your screen because your friends probably are engaging with one of my items. That means more noise and frustration.
5. Facebook keeps cloning FriendFeed. FriendFeed hasn’t found a real differentiator yet except for real time search and Facebook has already told the press that it will copy that feature soon. FriendFeed needs a real thing that differentiates it from other services, but also needs to get easier to use. That’s a tough engineering problem, especially for a small team, because they must both shave the splinters off of their service (make it easier to use) as well as add features that will differentiate it (adding features often makes systems more complex).
6. No brand, no hype. Brands tell me all the time that if they can’t display their brands, they won’t use this system. Think about a celebrity like Oprah, or a brand like Nike. In FriendFeed they look like everyone else. On Twitter? At least they can have their own image on their background. Celebrities won’t hype up FriendFeed until they are able to better control their image.
7. Most people do not yet need an aggregator. I needed an aggregator because, well, I am a freak who uses a ton of web services. How many people blog? Not many. How many people are on Twitter? Not many. How many people are on Flickr? Not many. Now how many are on all of those? Very few. So FriendFeed’s main user base is small.
8. Publishers don’t see a way to monetize and even see it as ascerbic to getting people to visit their own sites. Heck, TechCrunch even deleted his account on FriendFeed (because he was tired of dealing with FriendFeed’s community, which often behaves like a mob) but he wouldn’t have deleted that account if there were a way to make money with it. Me? I don’t care about that, because I’m not paid per page view the way TechCrunch is. But it sure does keep professional bloggers and content producers unexcited by the site, especially when they have other choices. Facebook has far more people, which is why publishers support it, and Twitter has better mobile, more hype, and an easier-to-use and easier-to-develop for system which gets professional content publishers hot and bothered.
9. Mobile. FriendFeed sucks on most mobile systems. Twitter and Facebook don’t. Enough said.
10. API too hard to use and not enough incentive for developers. Developers like Seesmic, TweetDeck, Tweetie, PeopleBrowsr, etc are driving Twitter’s growth. But they haven’t yet figured out why they would build a FriendFeed client. Until they do FriendFeed will remain a second-class citizen.
11. It’s a younger service. If you actually compare the growth curves of Twitter’s first two years FriendFeed is growing about the same speed as Twitter was.
12. It is being hamstrung by slow infrastructure.

Will I leave FriendFeed? Stop talking about it so much? No and no. Why? Because it lets me differentiate what I do from other bloggers and it has helped me build an innovative media platform that is paying me and Rackspace dividends. Lots of people at the TechCrunch event in Europe say they like reading me there, which demonstrates to me that I’m reaching the audience I wanted to, even if FriendFeed hasn’t reached its own potential yet.

Keep in mind that FriendFeed is growing faster than many tech blogs and is, even, outpacing TechMeme, which is one of the reasons why I remain bullish about it even as it doesn’t grow as fast as Facebook and Twitter.

{

Comments }

Europe no longer matters to lead position in mobile

by Robert Scoble on July 9, 2009

When I first started visiting Europe about 15 years ago Europeans used to love taunting me with their wonderful new phones that were, back then, years ahead of the devices we’d get in the United States.

It was a point of regional pride that even though Silicon Valley and Microsoft had thoroughly run away with the technology industry that Europe still had one industry that they could point to and say “you can’t take it all.”

Today that no longer is true and, worse, Europe is stuck in a texting rut.

What happened? Europe started buying its own hype and today its citizens are stuck using phones that are way behind those from Google, Apple, and Palm.

Now, today, I’m going to be visiting Nokia’s research lab in Cambridge, England, and I must disclose that Nokia is one of the sponsors of the Traveling Geeks tour that I’m on. I’ve been at the recent Nokia World where Nokia announced the N97, which is now shipping in Europe, but the N97 isn’t getting London’s cool kids hot and bothered like the N95 did.

At last night’s TechCrunch Europa Awards, I took stock of the devices that the coolest developers were supporting. Look at Marko Balabanovic as an example of the kind of geeks I saw. He’s a London-based developer who showed me one of the coolest iPhone apps I’ve ever seen. You aim your iPhone around the street and it tells you about places near you using the iPhone’s compass. It will ship “soon” and his app already ships on the Google Android phones. No, it does not support Europe’s own phones.

These are the kinds of developers who used to taunt me with their European-designed phones.

Now Nokia and Symbian employees are definitely keeping a stiff upper lip about all this. Nokia, in briefings recently, showed off its mapping and social networking services. They are pretty cool looking demos, but the problem is that their coolness is being overrun by all those pesky developers like Marko who are building far cooler things on the Google and Apple platforms.

It wasn’t lost on me that one of the largest cheers last night in the mobile category was for TweetDeck who has one of the hottest iPhone apps for Twitter (TweetDeck is a company started in London).

Heck, things have gotten so bad for Nokia, third-party developer wise, that in press comparisons of mobile platforms only iPhone and Palm are compared. Why not Nokia? Easy. Even Europe’s own best developers aren’t supporting Nokia/Symbian.

But why are Symbian’s top futurists so confident, as this CNET article reports? (I met a couple of Symbian employees last night at the TechCrunch affair and they were confident, too).

Well, they keep pushing market share, as if that matters to anyone. Nokia does, indeed, own most of the world’s market share for cell phones.

But here’s where my own observations in London’s tube (the subway system here) come in: the UK is stuck on texting. That’s all I see most people do with their phones.

That rut that Europeans are stuck in is going to doom them.

Nokia simply does not understand how important the Web is and it’s because they ride the same subways and see the same behaviors.

In San Francisco and New York we already know that the Web is more important than texting. But that’s partly because we just skipped the whole texting thing because our cell phones sucked so much for so long and because we were ahead of Europe in computer-per-citizen ratios for so long.

I’ve been using a Nokia cell phone here in Europe, and it’s a totally frustrating experience compared to the iPhone. I’m not the only one who’s noticed this. The bleeding edge developers in Europe have noticed it too, and they notice that their fellow citizens are stuck in the texting rut.

What happens when Europe gets out of that rut (and, it will, thanks to the leading edge developers?) Easy to see, in such a world Symbian will simply not matter any more.

So, what should Symbian do?

Listen to the Tower Bridge. It’s showing a “post-iPhone” and “post-Web” world. Huh? The Tower Bridge has a Twitter account. “So?”

Well, think of a world that will be here in about 2012-2015: one where every object in the world has a Twitter account. Won’t we need a new kind of device to deal with that world?

One that has real time search built in? One that has its own Twitter account, as well as give the best Twitter interface to the user of that device?

Palm only pushed the Pre a little bit toward that new world, with its integration of Facebook into its contacts.

Nokia needs to use its leadership in cameras and hardware to really bring a better information experience to its users. The Symbian challenge is to start over and build a UI that needs no clicks to do a bunch of tasks (getting to the Web browser today requires too many frustrating clicks) and to build a new data display that can bring us the real time world that Facebook, Twitter, and FriendFeed are pushing at us and we haven’t even seen the bulk of the real time innovations yet. At today’s TechCrunch Real Time Crunchup several new companies are shipping that will push this world dramatically further (I’ve gotten pre briefed) and that new world will open the opportunity for European mobile companies to change the game the way Steve Jobs did when he showed the world the iPhone.

Will the Europeans push their way onto the mobile leader table again?

I’m pessimistic. The Europeans who work at the mobile companies just aren’t using the right language with me that would demonstrate that they get it. They don’t have a Steve Jobs or, even, a Steve Ballmer.

Think this doesn’t matter? Well, dozens of times this week I have been asked as part of the Traveling Geeks tour “how does London compare to Silicon Valley?”

I usually am polite and say I’ve seen some stunningly cool companies, like Spotify (who won four TechCrunch Europa awards last night) but in the back of my head I remember how cocky the same entrepreneurs used to be when showing me their cell phones and noting how far ahead of the world they were. That cockiness is done and that has deep implications for entrepreneurs across Europe. They must now visit Cupertino and Mountain View to get access to customer bases.

Oh, Nokia, what are you going to do about this?

{

Comments }

Did you know that London’s Tower Bridge is on Twitter? What does it say? When it opens and closes. Fun example of an object in physical space using Twitter to communicate to the world. That reminds me of the Canadian border crossing that uses Twitter to tell the world how long waits are at the border. I wonder what other physical objects use Twitter?

I’ll be on that bridge with Rocky Barbanica (Building43 producer) and Rachel Clarke (she works for a web agency building websites) later today to kick off our Traveling Geeks week. We’re here meeting a ton of geeks and getting a look at all sorts of interesting tech companies and events.

Tonight, if you’re in London, please come by the Tweetup and say hi. Everyone is invited and tickets are still available.

The rest of our schedule this week is fairly packed. But I will try to sneak people into our schedule. Give me a call at +1-425-205-1921 and let’s talk.

{

Comments }

Ahh, the New York Times has an interesting article on PR in the tech industry. Funny that Brooke Hammerling doesn’t even live in Silicon Valley. But Silicon Valley is no longer a location, it’s a state of mind (I’m writing this in London where I am hanging out with a bunch of geeks and last night we met a bunch of local geeks who are doing some interesting things).

One quote, that caught my eye (it caught TechCrunch’s founder, Mike Arrington’s, too) is this one from Roger McNamee, after Brooke suggested a company’s founder talk to tech bloggers, like TechCrunch, All Things Digital, and GigaOm.

“Why shouldn’t we avoid them? They’re cynical,â€

He didn’t like that advice, saying those blogs are cynical.

Whoa? GigaOm cynical? That’s your first mistake, Roger.

But that quote belies other mistakes in thinking as well.

First of all, it’s not the right reason to avoid TechCrunch or GigaOm.

The right reason?

Because people who will use your product don’t read those tech blogs and they don’t read the influentials who read those sites.

The influential part is very important. How do things get into the New York Times? Or on Oprah? Or on CNN?

Journalists from those sites and media properties read tech blogs like TechCrunch. How do I know that? Because I have dinner with journalists often and they tell me where they get their information.

They read Techmeme. They read TechCrunch. They read GigaOm.

How did Twitter get onto the front page of USA Today? Because they read TechMeme and know when something is getting hot.

So, the right answer is “are they (the tech blogs) the best way to build a story?”

When we launched Building43 at TechCrunch’s offices we didn’t just rely on TechCrunch for coverage.

I worked with people from the A list and people from the Z list (and continue to do that). I talked with tons of reporters from local media in Virginia to reporters from bigger publications.

One thing I’ve learned is that 15 “nobodies” can get the story out there.

Remember when I quit Microsoft? I told 15 people at a videoblogging conference. None of whom were on the “A list.”

Who broke the story? A guy I didn’t even know. A guy who wasn’t famous, well known, or at the top of ANYONE’s lists.

Within three days Waggener Edstrom (Microsoft’s PR firm) told me we had tens of millions of media impressions. 15 conversations led to that.

Anyway, how do I get my news? Some of it comes from PR firms. But most of the time if the PR firm does its job it will get EVERYONE talking about something. I watch Twitter and Facebook and FriendFeed for just that. My friends filter stuff for me and tell me what’s important.

The fact that no one is talking about Wordnik tells me that they both had a product that didn’t hit with anyone but also that their PR strategy is screwed up.

But why don’t you study how Twitter reached “normal users?”

Hint: Twitter got Leo Laporte and tons of tech influencers hot and bothered. I remember when Eddie Codel showed it to me and got me on it. Who is Eddie? He’s one of San Francisco’s most tied in people. You want a story to get out? Show it to Eddie (or people like him, he doesn’t even work in PR, he’s just someone I trust to bring me cool stuff). He’ll show it to me and to tons of other people who will push it along.

That’s what we did to Twitter. We kept telling our journalist friends about it. They kept saying “that’s lame” but sooner or later they started paying attention and talking about it to their audiences. And the ball kept going from there.

Today Twitter forgets that it’s Leo Laporte who really made Twitter’s day. He talked about it on TWiT and a week later it was the hit of SXSW 2007 (ironic that he’s not even on Twitter’s Suggested User List). See, after the story is built you don’t need influencers anymore, but they sure are nice at the beginning.

Me? I keep going back to the Corporate Weblog Manifesto I wrote in 2003. It is a good document for how to get PR. Even though I didn’t write it for that purpose (I was just about to start my job at Microsoft and wanted to remind myself how to stay on track with my blog).

What is rule #7 on the manifesto?

Talk to the grassroots first. Read the reason why. It still is important today.

Today I would rewrite rule #6 to be “don’t ignore TechCrunch and TechMeme.”

Rule #11 is important too. “Know the information gatekeepers.”

It’s amazing to me how bad most tech companies are at this stuff, even today.

It’s also amazing that PR companies haven’t figured out that using bloggers who use video is very important for building a story. More than one CEO told me they got to “normal users” by being on my show, even though my show isn’t very mainstream.

It’s doubly amazing that PR companies haven’t figured out yet that the traffic has moved onto social networks and that journalists and influencers are watching those like a hawk. Want to get on CNN? You better be on Twitter and you better get TONS of Twitterers to talk about your company to @ricksanchezcnn.

It’s amazing to me just how bad Roger’s advice was, not because it was wrong, but because of the reasoning behind it. If you are building a story you NEVER care if someone is cynical. In fact, the more cynical I am about a product the more I’ve helped them. Many people tell me they bought an Amazon Kindle because of how I bashed the product (they said I was right, it was poorly designed, but that the Kindle’s flaws didn’t matter to them).

Even cynical tech bloggers can help your company get its message out. But don’t call me, I’m not in the cynical news business anymore, I’m too busy exploring the 2010 web and looking for ways to be helpful to my community.

{

Comments }

A few weeks ago I attended a press event that the San Francisco Giants and Shoretel put on. The audio isn’t that great because we’re in the server room for the San Francisco Giants baseball team. Here SF Giants’ CIO, Bill Schlough, is showing off how the Giants saved a million bucks by upgrading its telecommunications equipment.

Remember that the ballpark that the Giants is in was originally named for PacBell, the local phone company. Interesting look at how phone systems have changed in just the past 10 years.

This is a nice win for Shoretel. How often do you get a customer to sing your praises like this? Especially one that so many people in the community like and appreciate?

The system will save the SF Giants about $1,000 a day. Not bad. Plus they got a ton of new features, which lets the Giants serve their customers better.

{

Comments }

Gary Vaynerchuk’s dad came to the United States with nothing in his pocket. He worked for less than minimum wage and built up a business, Wine Library, that today sells $50 million a year in wine in a sizeable store in New Jersey.

Today Gary is building on top of his dad’s work and is taking the store global with a video show, Wine Library TV, that gets about 100,000 views a show. I remember when I first saw the impact he was having when I walked into a meeting at Revision 3 and the team was sitting around watching his show and drinking the wine he was talking about.

Here we visited Gary’s store and got more of how he’s using the 2010 web to bash in the skulls of his competitors. He calls it “bringing the thunder.” I call it the most innovative marketing I’ve seen on the web to date. We talked about a range of things from his dad to how he would compete with his show, if someone else had done Wine Library TV and he wanted in on the action.

This is part of our Building43 series of videos. Come over and join the community there, we’re looking for people who are fanatical about the 2010 web and who are looking to help other people and businesses get into this new world.

By the way, I’m a huge fan because Gary has never mislead me and he’s very willing to tell a CEO his/her wine is crap to his/her face (I’ve seen him do it, even after the CEO threw us a party).

Hope  you enjoy, tomorrow Rocky (behind the camera producer at Building43) and me are headed to London to find out what’s happening on the other side of the pond with regards to the 2010 web. Join us on Sunday night at a Tweetup in London.

{

Comments }

 

 


You are viewing a mobilized version of this site...
View original page here

Mobilized by Mowser Mowser
Mobilytics