Dear Professor Wiltbank,
I was heartened to see your "In Search of Growth Leaders" article in the WSJ as it's good to see this topic getting attention. I've argued for some time that organic growth is less risky/more predictable and ultimately more manageable than M&A growth or market growth. We've also quantitatively shown that it is a great predictor of shareholder returns. Ultimately, organic growth is the manifestation of management's ability to extract growth from their core business through their decision-making skills. As a result, I was pretty excited to see that this method of generating growth was getting its due.
But unfortunately for me, the arguments you presented didn't resonate with our experience generating organic growth previously as part of large, complex organizations and now as we advise clients on this. Instead of arguing for improved management processes to deliver organic growth, your argument that it is a handful of managerial beliefs, talents and behaviors that drive organic growth is not consistent with our observations of what works.
While I wouldn't argue that having capable managers at the helm of a business is not important or desirable, the idea that organic growth is driven by recruitment of the right managers possessing "vision, leadership and entrepreneurial talents" makes organic growth appear much more elusive than it need be.
Based on our experience working with organizations seeking organic growth, here is what needs to happen:
1. Organizations must first understand that resource allocation decisions, e.g., investments and projects in marketing, R&D, sales, operations, innovation, etc are what drive organic growth and that they generally have too many ideas and not enough funding
2. Because of this resource constraint, they need a way to better determine the selection and prioritization of organic growth projects instead of typical personality and politically-driven decision criteria. This can be done by forcing the quantification of these investments in a more data-driven way. By understanding the strategic, financial and risk benefits and risks of these projects in a consistent and rigorous way, the projects can be considered against one another and selections can be made that leverage data. I'm not arguing the decisions be made on the basis of a spreadsheet but am calling for decisions that balance analytical and intuition led decision making. This is very contrary to the article which seems to push for more intuition-led, decibel-driven decisioning based on the 'prowess' of the manager. This is already the norm in most organizations and doesn't need to be exacerbated.
3. Creating projections for these investments is obviously not enough as creating fancy, elaborate models are always wrong. The point is not to create perfect projections which is a fool's task but to create a mechanism for always improving projections. As the business adage goes, "What gets measured gets managed" and so the critical step at this point is to actually close the loop on these investments and determine which delivered and which did not, e.g., which were achieved in the costs outlined and which delivered the financial benefits, # of customers, etc that they outlined.
4. Taking this promise versus performance data, we can use the results to inform future year projections. Our projections are still not perfect but they are continuously improving and with this, the organization's ability to select the right projects to deliver organic growth is also improving.
With all this information, we're actually able to objectively determine who the best managers are based on information and not abstract and nebulous determinations of vision and leadership capabilities. These managers' practices and ideas can be shared across the organization, and the managers themselves can be put into positions of greater responsibility. At the same time, those managers unable to deliver are exposed and corrective action can be taken.
Creating organic growth is possible in a systematic way, and it should be treated as a strategic and managerial discipline the organization can continuously improve through consistent attention and management. Pegging your hopes for organic growth on a few 'gifted' leaders and their abilities is not the way for an organization to consistently generate organic growth.
I am still glad to see your article and the fact that organic growth is coming to the forefront in a publication of this stature, but it appears that a lot more can be done to create an understanding of what drives organic growth.
Warm regards,
Anand Sanwal
www.brilliont.com
Investile Dysfunction blog -
http://brilliont.com/blogs/id/
asanwal@brilliont.com