Dawn Wotapka reports:
The grim statistics just keep rolling in. The latest batch comes from real estate Web site Zillow.com, best known for letting neighbors monitor the value of each other’s homes.
The Seattle-based firm just released its third-quarter report covering 163 metro areas, information gleaned by tapping public data such as deeds and using proprietary formulas. According to the report, roughly 14% of homeowners — one in seven — have negative equity, or owe more than their house is worth. For those who bought in the past five years, that figure doubles. (For more data on areas with negative equity, click here.)
It’s a tough position to be in, with few options other than grumbling. Selling is out: 30% of homes sold in the last year commanded less than their original purchase price, up from 23.7% at the second quarter’s end. In 17 markets –14 in California — more than half of homes sold in the last year left the seller in the red. (For more on California’s grim market, check Michael Corkery and Jonathan Karp’s fascinating look at Los Banos. “California Home Sales Revive, But Not Without Intense Pain.” The NYTimes today is reporting on another California town in trouble.)
As the residential slump limps into another year, home values continue their multi-quarter slide: They slipped another 9.7% in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 to a median $202,966, according to Zillow. That price tag, down 12.8% from the market peak, hasn’t been this low since the end of 2004.
The biggest declines came from the usual suspects: Stockton, Calif., plunged 35.5% year over year, hitting a level not seen since 2002’s second quarter. Las Vegas saw values shaved by nearly 25% to levels last recorded five years ago. Detroit might have only seen values fall by nearly 10%, but current levels mirror the end of 1999.
The quarter did have some bright spots, with 12 of the 163 markets actually showed annual gains above 1%, assisted by the Carolinas and upstate New York. With a 5.6% increase in median home value, Ithaca, N.Y. was the top gainer. Median values increased more than 3% in the North Carolina cities of Jacksonville and Winston Salem, while Pueblo, Colo., went up 1.6%.
Even so, for those dreaming of the market’s recovery, keep dreaming: “It’s clear we are at a unique point in history; we’ve had seven consecutive quarters of decline, and we expect that to continue until at least the middle of next year,” said Stan Humphries, the site’s vice president of data and analytics.